Election results are a day away and people are having mixed feelings about the result of the Assam Assembly Elections. Well, the results of exit polls have been released. Polling in Assam was in three phases to elect the 15th legislative assembly are out. Nevertheless, most exit polls have indicated the return of the BJP-led government in Assam.
A party needs 64 seats to be able to form the government in the state. A poll of four exit polls has predicted 73 seats for BJP-led NDA and 52 for Congress-led UPA. India Today-Axis My India has predicted a comfortable win for BJP with 75-85 seats, while it has given 40-50 seats to Congress. The state recorded an overall voter turnout of 82.04 per cent. The BJP has forged a pact with the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and the United People’s Party Liberal (UPPL), while the Congress expanded its Grand Alliance by comprising parties like Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) and Lalu Prasad headed RJD.
Talking about BJP’s power in the state, it is being noted that the political power of states can be assumed by the number of MPs it provides. In this matter, Assam has 14 MPs, which is likely to be a state of the size of Jharkhand or Punjab.
To succeed in Assam, the BJP needed local leaders from the state. The RSS started cherry-picking leaders from the old Assam movement, that is from the All Assam Students Union (AASU) and Asom Gana Parishad (AGP), so much so that almost all Lok Sabha candidates in the 2014 elections were former AGP leaders. BJP however bought out all of the AGP and established a new leadership, which included Sarbananda Sonowal, the current chief minister. The BJP also brought on board the second most important person in the Congress after Tarun Gogoi — Himanta Biswa Sarma, who had joined AASU as a young kid and later joined the Congress. Sarma wanted to become CM but Congress had a procession system in place. So the BJP reached out to him and Sarma joined the BJP in 2015.
BJP however is also receiving serious criticism in the state, when in 2016, BJP came to power they promised impromptu flood conditions of Assam. Ironically old promises are not kept. The Assam government has only promised to give the locals land on the lease on which they have been settled for decades. Apart from this, not a single core issue has been resolved yet which was promised in the last election. Before the Assembly Elections commenced in the state, HBS asked the public not to wear masks as Assam doesn’t have Coronavirus, he organized several rallies without taking any Covid precautions. But within a few hours of the last phase of the election, HBS declared numerous Covid positive cases in the state and implemented covid protocols. This triggered opposition parties as well as the public in a way.
Well, BJP has got lots of criticism but no wonder why there occurs win-win situation of BJP in the state. BJP has an immense power to rule the state according to the past evidence. It has an influencing power, Sarma has also done a lot for the youth of the state. Starting from giving freebies to looking after the state exams was a clever move of HBS. Nevertheless, the results are yet to know and let us hope the best one wins to give rise to a better Assam.
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